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Chinese Dragon Still Roaring
February 3, 2006
Media and Cement...
January 20, 2006
Go Global!
January 7 , 2006
Small-Cap Cash Cow
December 9, 2005
A Whiz Around the World
December 3, 2005
Three Stocks, Three Winners
November 19, 2005
Fat Saudi Oilmen
November 4, 2005
What Does Bernake Mean for the Market?
October 30, 2005
A Real Nice Chunk of Change
October 14, 2005
House Hedge Gains
October 8, 2005
Welcome to the Fourth Quarter
October 1, 2005
Another Rate Hike in the Bag
September 24, 2005 Gate Closing for Business at Northwest
September 17, 2005
Fight Back Against Galloping Gas Prices...
September 10, 2005
Sell YELL
September 9, 2005
Nuclear Clearup...
August 27, 2005
Take 77% in Two Days!
August 19, 2005
Forget Oil's Rise
August 12, 2005
Dawson Darts Higher
July 29, 2005
Comfortable Gains
July 22, 2005
FCFS on Hold
July 01, 2005
Brazilian
Rebound
June
16, 2005
DWSN
Upgrade
June
10, 2005
ANF
up 123%
June
2 , 2005
Extremely
Oversold
May
27, 2005
DVS
on Hold
May
20, 2005
PSUN
in the Green
May
13, 2005
RNWK
on Fire
May
6, 2005
Take
30% Gains on SRZ
May
2 , 2005
Introgen
Therapeutics Update
Apr.
22, 2005
Sell
Into the Rally
Apr.
21, 2005
FARO
Gains Within Hours
Apr.
15, 2005
New
52-Week High For Sunrise
Apr.
8, 2005
Sell
KKD - Take 23%
Apr.
1, 2005
KKD
on the Move
Mar.
18, 2005
Billion
Dollar Sales
Mar.
4, 2005
Hot
Hands Beale
Feb.25,
2005
Long
Overdue For a Bounce
Feb.18,
2005
2nd
Half of SWN Up 240%
Feb.16,
2005
Looking
Norte
Feb.11,
2005
An
Airline Turns a Profit!
Jan.
28, 2005
Take
253% Gains on ASTM
Jan.
26, 2005
SBL
Upgraded--Hold
Jan.
21, 2005
181%
Second Half Gains!
Jan.
14, 2005
Sell
Your IBM Calls
Dec.
30, 2004
CD
on Hold
Dec.
17, 2004
SINA
Up 68%
Dec.
10, 2004
Exit
QHILX for 467% Gains
Dec.
6, 2004
Upping
Our Entry
Nov.
29, 2004
Taking
Taipan Gains
Nov.
12, 2004
Hot Games, Hotter Profits
November
5, 2004
Lock
In 21% Gains
November
2, 2004
China
Stocks Rock the House
October
29, 2004
Gloppy
but Lucrative
October
22, 2004
CD
up 28%
October
15, 2004
MAGS
in the Green
October
08, 2004
Hold Despite the Crumble
October
01, 2004
Conference Buzz
September
24, 2004
Sell ROW
September 15, 2004
Not
Fleeing FLE
September
10, 2004
Holding
IPIX and TASR
August
27, 2004
Drop
the Laggards
August
20, 2004
Still
Bullish on HEPH
August
13, 2004
Oil Turns Defensive, Airline Stocks
Up
August
11, 2004
Market
Crumbles As Only 32,000 Jobs Are Added
August
6, 2004
Project
Bioshield Signed Into Law
July
23, 2004
Reiterating a Buy on TASR
July
21, 2004
Holding
IPIX
July
16, 2004
Cendant
Ups Guidance
July
9, 2004
More
Good News for TASR
July
2, 2004
TASR
Up 22%
June
25, 2004
Time
to Sell a Few
June
18, 2004
Sell AUO
June
11, 2004
Take
Profits
June
4, 2004
MHR
Falls Into Buy Range
June
3, 2004
SVVS
Still a Hold
May
21, 2004
Sunrise
Senior's Silver Lining
May
07, 2004
Sitting Tight with TASR
April
30, 2004
MGM
on a Tear
April
23, 2004
TASR
at New High
April
16, 2004
JBLU Still Flying
April
14, 2004
A Stock With a US$8 Dividend
April
7, 2004
TKF up 38%
April
2, 2004
The
Profit Hog Insider
March
19, 2004
PD
at US$79 Stop Loss
March
12, 2004
FLE
Still a Hold
March
5, 2004
PD
on Hold With US$100 Target
February
27, 2004
Sell
PLUG--
Take 17%
February
25, 2004
20%
Gains in
Round 5
February
24, 2004
MO
Still a Hold
February
20, 2004
Fourth
Quarter Revenues Roll at Cendant
February
06, 2004
KCS up 318%
January
16, 2004
The India Fund Hits US$26.89 – up 52%
January
09, 2004
PD
Still Running Wild
December
19, 2003
Hold Them All
December
12, 2003
Still Holding JBLU
December
05, 2003
Sell the Losers and Let the Winners
Run
November
18, 2003
Average 72.6% Gain Since January 2003
November
14, 2003
ICGE Remains a Hold
November
07, 2003
Profiting in the Face of Downgrades
October
31, 2003
Sit Tight with JBLU
October
24, 2003
Fixation on Green
October
17, 2003
NETE up 274%! LEXR up 215%!
October
08, 2003
LEXR up 202%
October
03, 2003
The EK Plunge
September
26, 2003
Netegrity up 260%
September
12, 2003
Still Holding LEXR with 162% Gains
September
05, 2003
Free Second-Half Ride on NETE
August
29, 2003
136% Gains on LEXR - Hold winner
August
22, 2003
Lexar hits US$14.29 - that’s a 114%
winner
August
20, 2003
LEXR up 93%
August
15, 2003
No LEXR Worries
August
06, 2003
Altria Gains as Market Slumps
August
01, 2003
LEXR up 93% -
July
18, 2003
LEXR up 93% - earnings tonight, hold
July
17, 2003
Movin’ on up with LEXR
July
11, 2003
LEXR up 50%
June
27, 2003
An Upgrade, Another Contract, and an
Up Trend to Boot
June
20, 2003
The Dogs of Profits
June
13, 2003
10.8%
five-month average gain – Good Dogs
June
06, 2003
Tax Cut Approved
May
23, 2003
Say Goodbye to Dividend Taxes…
May
16, 2003
Bulls on Parade
May
09, 2003
Check out ABMD
May
02, 2003
Hold ABMD
April
25, 2003
Mixed Market Madness
April
11, 2003
Hold the Dogs
April
04, 2003
ABMD on Hold
March
28, 2003
The Dogs of War
March
21, 2003
BFLY Looking Good Again
March
14, 2003
Hold Back the Dogs
March
07, 2003
Hold the Dogs
February
21, 2003
Back from the Dead
February
14, 2003
A Dividend for HON
February
07, 2003
Maybe that US$1.5 billion is under the
couch?
January
31, 2003
Bad Dog
January
24, 2003
Dogs
Earnings Alert
January
17, 2003
Day
of the Dogs
January
10, 2003
Dogs of the Dow Round 2
January
03, 2003
What a Year!
December
27, 2002
AKAM
up 223%
November
22, 2002
DG
Still a Bargain
November
15, 2002
Time
to Take More Profits
November
08, 2002
82%
in Just 10 Days
November
01, 2002
One
Week ñ 25.6% Average Gains
October
25, 2002
TLK up 13%
October
18, 2002
DG
on Hold
October
11, 2002
Insiders
Flocking
October
04, 2002
MWY
up 10%
September
20, 2002
Insiders
are Flocking
September
20, 2002
Hold
GNK
September
13, 2002
DG
SSS up 6.3%
September
6, 2002
In
this DG Earnings
August
30, 2002
Hold HPON
August
23, 2002
Dollar
Store Run
August
16, 2002
DG
SSS up 6.6%
August 9, 2002
Sell
EWJ
August 2, 2002
DG
- the place to be
July 26, 2002
Good
News Remains
July 19, 2002
ITRU
Up 61%
July 12, 2002
More
Gains
July
5, 2002
ITRU
Up 53% in 11 Days
June
28, 2002
ITRU Up 36% in Nine Days
June
26, 2002
IBN
Remains a Hold
June
14, 2002
Gold in the Markets
June 7, 2002
WINKóSell
it for 52% Profits
May 31, 2002
South
African Breweries Update
May 24, 2002
Holds
and Sells
May 17, 2002
IC
now IBN
May 10, 2002
59%
Gains, 10 Days
May 3, 2002
WINK
up 8%
April 26, 2002
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February 10, 2006
Attention "House Hedgers": Important HGX News
IN THIS WEEK’S ISSUE:
##Toll Brothers Reduces Sales Forecast
##HGX Housing Index Splits 2 for 1: Important News for “House Hedge” Investors
##What the January Job Report Means for the Fed and Inflation
##Watch Out for Bears – Bad News Bears! Another Strong Earnings Season Underway
##Americans Fancy Something Foreign, While You Get Chance to Scoop Major Profits from the Chinese Downturn (yep, a downturn!)
Dear Taipan Subscriber,
Are you a Taipan “House Hedge” player?
If so, you’ll want to get your eyes and ears around this piece of news from the series creator Bryan Bottarelli (a regular Taipan editor and options play tactician at our WaveStrength Group).
Bryan writes: “Did you see that homebuilding giant Toll Brothers again reduced its forecast for home sales for the fiscal year ending in October? Management also announced that new orders for the quarter fell to 1,572 from 2,209 – an ugly decline of nearly 29%, with the contract values declining 21% to US$1.14 billion.
“Surprised? You shouldn’t be. Not if you’ve followed our prognosis for the US housing market, because we’ve been playing the downside of the US housing market for the last six months.
“And Toll’s bad news about declining business (insiders, by the way, started selling large chunks of shares in the second half of 2005) means it’s good news if you followed Taipan’s advice into a handsomely profitable hedge position.
“However, I need to give you some key information here…
“On February 1, the Philadelphia Housing Index (HGX) split 2 for 1. This often creates a lot of confusion, especially for options holders, so allow me to explain the situation…
“The original recommendation was to purchase the HGX March 540 Puts (HGX OH) on October 3 for US$34.40 as a downside defense against negative pressure on the US housing market. On October 11, we told you to sell half of this position for US$63.60 and lock in an 85% gain. As for the remaining half, the advice was to hold out for more gains.
“However, with the HGX stock split, your March 540 Puts, those have now changed to the March 270 Puts. The symbol is HGX ON. It also means instead of holding one HGX March 540 put contract, you now hold two March 270 put contracts. If you originally bought four contracts, you how own eight, etc.
“Right now, these new March 270 puts trade between US$15.50 and US$16.80. On the surface, it would appear that you’re showing a big loss. But don’t panic – that’s not the case.
“Remember, you now have twice the number you originally bought. That makes the total value of your puts US$34.40, which is your exact entry price from October.
“Look to sell your remaining half at or above US$20.00, good for the month of February. If these puts do not trade above US$20.00 by the end of the month, we’ll re-evaluate at that time.”
My thanks to Bryan for that important update. Hope that clears up any questions you may have.
* * * * * * * * * *
Google-Sized Gains at the Click of a Mouse!
If you missed the boat on the Google’s incredible US$350 run, don’t worry – there’s a “tag-along” stock within the search engine’s multibillion niche with just the same potential.
Potential that could net savvy investors 395% gains in less than six months!
This information is hot off the press, so you must act now.
Check out the full report here:
http://www.isecureonline.com/reports/TRZ/ETRZG248/
* * * * * * * * * *
JOBS, INFLATION AND BAD NEWS BEARS
With the dust having now settled on the January job report, let’s talk a little bit about the inflation implications.
On the surface, the fact that the US economy generated 193,000 new jobs in January, with the unemployment rate declining 0.2% to a five-year low of 4.7%, looks like good news. But it isn’t. And I’ll tell you why.
With the jobless rate falling to a level where inflation might pick up, the numbers didn't produce much by way of cheer. Instead they sparked concerns over more interest rate hikes in the near future. When the Federal Reserve met for the last time under Alan Greenspan, it left the possibility open that it could raise rates further. January’s job numbers could make that more likely when the Fed reconvenes under Ben Bernanke.
But the notion that there’s a point where the unemployment rate becomes inflationary is misleading. Given what we know about the Fed’s philosophy these days, it’s not going to raise interest rates simply because the unemployment rate is below 5%. Anyone who thinks the stuffy old bankers will make knee-jerk decisions based on one month of job data needs his head examined.
In any event, it’s the surprising drop in US productivity that is more frown-inducing than the job numbers. Should it continue to fall, that could signal a larger problem.
Despite this, though, don’t be fooled by the mainstream financial media’s gloomy approach. Many headlines today would seem to suggest that the American economy is faring badly – particularly in light of that job report and the poor fourth-quarter GDP number (1.1%).
But take a look at corporate earnings. In the midst of another reporting season, the Financial Times expects fourth-quarter earnings per share on the S&P 500 to grow 13.4% on average. If this prediction is anywhere near accurate, it will mark ten consecutive quarters that the market has recorded double-digit earnings growth. Such a trend hasn’t occurred since the middle of the 1990’s, and only once before that, in the mid 1970’s.
FANCY SOMETHING FOREIGN
Americans seem to be ignoring their low savings rate and piling money into foreign assets with as much gusto as ever.
Whereas US stock funds enjoyed US$9.2 billion worth of inflows in November, the figure slumped to US$2.2 billion in December. Foreign funds reaped the benefit, hauling in US$11.8 billion in November and US$12.3 billion in December.
For all of 2005, foreign stock funds scooped up US$104.6 billion in capital - a 57% surge from 2004. By contrast, US stock funds endured a 72% slump in inflows last year.
And speaking of foreign investment assets, that’s Brit Ryle’s bag, baby! The man who beat Warren Buffett to investing in China by a full year is now set to do it again!
Brit has his finger well and truly on China’s pulse and informs me that while most folks haven’t realized it yet, preferring instead to focus on China’s headline GDP growth numbers, the economic tide is turning.
For you, it’s great to have a guy like Brit on your side, because while everyone else sits around waiting for it to happen, Brit has identified the companies you need to make 748% as the secret Chinese economic meltdown begins!
To access his FREE report, please click this link:
http://www.isecureonline.com/reports/TPT/ETPTG208/
Well, that’s all for this week. Enjoy the weekend and take care if you’re in the path of the big snowstorm headed for the mid-Atlantic and Northeast.
Martin Denholm
Executive Editor, Taipan
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