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Retail
Survivors
July 31, 2002
Average
20.6% Gain
July 31, 2002
Hold
NDN
July 24, 2002
Still
Loving the Fall
July 17, 2002
ITRU
up 68% - Hits 52-week high at US$3.23
July 10, 2002
NASDAQ
Down 31% YTD
July 3, 2002
Take
Profits on IBN
June 19, 2002
92%
Gains on IBN—Hold
June 12, 2002
Nuclear
Cool-Down = 79% Profits
June 5, 2002
Hold
Everything
May 29, 2002
Wink
up 39% -- Hold
May 22, 2002
Wink
up 39%
May 8, 2002
IC Update
May 1, 2002
Book
'em, Dano! Part III: Take 20% on EK and 6% on
XOM
April 24, 2002
Hold
JPM
April 17, 2002
EK
Doing OK
April 10, 2002
Beer
Deal of the Century
April 3, 2002
Book
'em, Dano: Take 22% on ABY and 3% on IP
March 27, 2002
31%
Gains
March 21, 2002
Sasol
Reports
March 13, 2002
Hold
Everything
March 6, 2002
SPP
Surge
February 27, 2002
Profiting
in a Market Slump
February 20, 2002
83%
on USOO
February 13, 2002
SPP
on the Rise
February 6, 2002
TMCS
Earnings
January 30, 2002
Hold
all Positions
January 23, 2002
USOO
Continues its Streak
January 9, 2002
Chip
Sales Rise
January 2, 2002
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Retail
Survivors
By Ian L. Cooper
July, typically a slow sales month, is expected to
show less-than-stellar results because May and June
were so successful for retailers. Retail sales for July
are expected to have only grown 3%, compared to the
5.1% increase in June.
Despite June's success, many retailers were forced
to make markdowns as they dealt with slow mall traffic.
Just last week, retailers such as Hot Topic warned of
poor July figures and Q2 profits. Fortunately for those
of you that bought into our dollar discount plays, DG
and NDN, they continued to show marked improvement.
DG is expected to posted same-store sales growth of
more than 7%, compared to the 1.1% decline expected
for specialty apparel chains and the 2.7% decrease for
department store sales.
Continue holding Dollar General (DG:NYSE) and
99 Cents Only Stores (NDN:NYSE).
Elsewhere, Chris DeHaemer has been looking at Microsoft,
the bluest of blue chips. The share price is below all
three trendlines. This is a clear bearish signal. It
has fallen through its three-year support level at US$50
and is now trading at US$45. The next stop is US$41.40,
and then you have to go to US$32, which was set back
in 1998.
Microsoft is the largest company in the world, with
a market cap of US$247 billion and sales of US$28 billion.
It has the biggest influence on all the market indexes.
Keep an eye on it. If it bounces above US$41, you might
consider going long. If it slices through that, and
there is a good possibility given the poor performance
of everyone else in the computer industry, I'm short
until it hits US$32. At that level, however, I'm the
first bull among bulls, because the support level is
very strong.
---------------------------------
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