When I heard that
third-quarter GDP
growth came in at a
blistering 7.2%, I
immediately re-rec-
ommended shares of
military body armor
stock DHB Industries (DHB:AMEX). Heres why: With the economy
expanding at a robust
clip, Bush is a sure bet
to win reelection. With Bush in the
White House for anoth-
er term, the so-called
neocon experiment
will continue for anoth-
er four years. What this 11 www.taipanonline.com tors combine to produce a high
operating margin of 19.4%. With no debt and over
US$385 million in cash, the
company plans to add to its 651
stores by opening 400 more
Abercrombie chains (currently
351) and 600 to 800 Hollister
stores (now 121) by 2010. It also
has a new fourth brand in early
development, probably aimed at
the over-25 market. At that point
it will cover everybody between
the ages of 7 and 25+. A five-star
company trading
at a discount For a company that shuns dis- counts, its ironic that Aber-
crombie actually trades at a one!
Its current P/E ratio of 14 is half
the industry average, but its
forward P/E for the fiscal year
ending 2005 is expected to be
just 12. S&P gives Abercrombies
stock the maximum five-star
investment rating, and it was
recently upgraded from neu-
tral to buy by Merrill Lynch. Remember, were looking for an Abercrombie holiday bounce.
Historically, the three-month
period from December to
February is a good time to buy
shares, taking advantage of both
the holidays and the popular
winter clothing season. Take the
last three years, for example: December 1, 2000, to February 28, 2001:
US$21.25 to US$28.36
a 33.4% gain
December 3, 2001, to February 28, 2002:
US$24 to US$26.64
up 11%
December 2, 2002, to February 28, 2003:
US$25.45 to US$27.50
an 8% rise
Thats three straight years of holiday gains in the midst of the
economic downturn. And with a
greatly improved economy, brisk
consumer spending and high
demand for specialty apparel,
theres good reason to believe
Abercrombies sales and earn-
ings will profit in the next few
months. Buy Abercrombie shares
under US$30.50 n Next page
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stock DHB Industries
doubles in price Hold for more gains while the
US remains in Iraq for years Brian Hicks