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Bombed
in Bali:
Getting
ready for blood-in-the-street profits again!
If
you still have not signed up for our daily email alert,
the Taipan Groups 247profits e-Dispatch, youre
missing out on tremendous short-term windows of opportunity.
Like the one opened by the vicious bombing of a Bali resort
club. The day after, I wrote in the e-Dispatch:
Bombs
in BaliBUY TLK! On Saturday night in Bali, a bomb
tore through a nightclub, killing at least 216 people and
injuring more than 300. Victims were mostly Western tourists
on vacation in the island paradise.
Today,
despite the intervention of the government, the stock market
opened down more than 10% as money fled the county and the
rupiah fell 3.6%. Our favorite Indonesian play, PT Telekomunikasi
Indonesia (TLK: NYSE), fell more than 25% to a major
support level of US$5.30 (it trades as an ADR).
This
is one of those blood-in-the streets opportunities the late
Baron Rothschild dreamed about: Buy low when the cattle
are stampeding. Sell high when they come sauntering back
in.
TLK
had a great last year, growing revenues 33%. EPS almost
doubled from 251,888 rupiahs to 421,630 rupiahs. The company
is majority owned by the government. There is little chance
they will go out of business. They have a P/E of 8 and pay
55 cents a share annually.
Weve
made money on this stock every time Ive bought it
for Taipan. Buy it now below US$5.50 and look to
sell over US$8. The irrational sell effect from the bombing
wont last long.
You know Taipan by now: theres nothing we at
the Taipan Group despise more than cutthroat cowards who
try to barter their way into Paradise by indiscriminately
slaughtering innocent civilians. But lets maker no
mistake about it: massive selloffs like the one in October
are not triggered by noble sentiment. Theyre triggered
by vulgar fear and greed. As such, they create incredible
buying opportunities for those who let reason dominate their
assessment of the situation.
Markets have no emotions. Theyre not moral beings.
The people who make markets
at least the majority
of them
are not any more moral than the markets themselves.
Nor should they be. They have a job to do. Make a profit,
any which way, for their funds, their portfolios, their
clients, their companies, their families, themselves. Independent
of what the markets are doing.
That is the nature of the market. Its the core experience
we at Taipan have had over and over again in the
15 years weve made money on world markets. Here, emotion
that transcends the primal drives of fear and greed and
sentiment that transcends the calculation of risk and reward
are as misplaced as approaching a Kodiak bear with the intent
of putting a pink bunny suit on it.
On October 31, TLK:NYSE clocked in at US$6.91. The ridiculous
knee-jerk share dump was followed by the cool light of reason.
Those of us with the guts to buy panic made a profit yet
again. TLK has just submitted plans to the government for
a rate hike of 45.5% over the next three years. The 15%
jump last year has been the major driver of growth for this
company.
I am maintaining my medium-term price target of US$8.
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