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Understanding
options just got a lot easier: How you can use the ³delta²
to become a master trader
by
Bryan Bottarelli
On
the options trading floor, you learn the meaning of sink
or swim. This is the mentality on the Chicago Board
Options Exchange (CBOE).
They throw you in with the sharks, and you either fight
for your life, or you become the chum. You have to learn
fast. When I was trading options on the CBOE, one of the
first things that was drilled into my head was understanding
a number called delta.
Using any tracking service, you can access an options
delta. It will always range between 100 and -100. Calls
have positive delta. Puts have negative delta. The delta
represents the dollar value change of your option as the
underlying stock moves up or down US$1.00
If
a stock option with a 50 delta goes up US$1.00, then your
call options contract will go up US$0.50. On the other hand,
if a stock option with a 50 delta goes down US$1.00, then
your put options contract will go up US$0.50.
Say Amgen is trading for US$70 a share. You buy a September
70 Call. This option gives you the right to buy 100 shares
of Amgen anytime before the September expiration for US$70
a share. You pay US$7 a share for this option.
This is what is called an at the money option.
The price of Amgen stock is the same as your options
strike price. Look up the delta on this option and youll
find that it has a delta of 50. So, the question remains:
if Amgen goes up to US$80 a share, and I have the right
to buy 100 shares for US$70, how much will the option be
worth? The answer lies in the delta.
Since this is a call, every US$1 move up in Amgen stock
will move your Amgen call up US$0.50. For example, if Amgen
ticks up to US$71 a share, your option to buy 100 shares
for US$70 will be worth US$7.50 (remember, you paid US$7
for the option).
So, if you think Amgen will trade at US$80 a share before
September, your US$7 option contract will go from your buy
price of US$7 to US$12 (a US$10 rise x US$0.50). Thus a
14% gain in Amgen stock equates to a 71% gain in your Amgen
option.
Get it? OK, try this example: eBay is trading for US$60
a share. You pay US$5 for the right to buy eBay for US$65
a share by September expiration. (Did you notice you are
now buying an out of the money option? In other
words, your strike price is higher than the actual eBay
stock.) Since you are buying the right to buy eBay for US$65
a share, even though its trading for only US$60 a
share, your delta is less. The delta of this option is 35.
Should eBay move up to US$65 a share, how much would your
option be worth?
Lets calculate it: a US$5 move x US$0.35 = US$1.75.
Add that to your US$5 buy price, and you get US$6.75. And
there you have it. Once again, an 8% gain in a stock gives
you a 35% gain in the stock option. And best of all, you
know ahead of time how your option moves compared to how
the stock moves.
But thats just the first definition of delta.
Delta
gives you the percent chance that your option will expire
in the money
On
face value, simply looking at an options delta will
tell you point blank how risky it is. And it does that by
giving you a percent chance that your option will expire
in the money, or, in other words, above the price of your
strike.
Heres another example. HGSI is trading for US$50 a
share. You buy a September 50 Put. This would give you the
right to sell 100 shares for US$50 a share. The delta on
this option is 50. So, you have a 50/50 chance of this option
expiring in the money.
On the flipside, you buy a September 40 Put. This would
give you the right to sell 100 shares for US$40 a share.
Since this option is out of the money, it has a lower deltaor
a lower chance of expiring in the money. In this case, the
delta is 35.
So you know ahead of time that you have a 35% chance of
this option expiring in the money. Knowing the percent chance
of an option expiring in the money will help you make better
sense of the options you pick.
For
traders onlythe delta gives you a hedge rate
This
definition will help you if youre looking to hedge
your options positions with stock. For example, say youre
really bearish on Microsoft, and you buy 20 September 50
puts. But, to be safe, you want to protect yourself should
the stock go up, so you want to buy some shares of the underlying
stock, too. The only question is: how many shares do you
buy?
Once again, look to the delta.
Lets assume the delta of the September 50 Put is 45.
You bought 20 contracts, which give you the right to control
2,000 shares of stock (20 contracts x 100 shares of stock
per contract). You dont want all your gains to be
eaten up as Microsoft goes down, so you need to hedge with
the appropriate amount of Microsoft stock. Heres what
you do:
Take the total number of shares you control (in this case
2,000) and multiply it by the delta (.45). What you get
is 900and thats the number of Microsoft shares
you want to buy to hedge against your put position.
There you have the three ways you can evaluate options investments
using one simple number.
If youre interested in getting started trading options,
hedging against your stock positions, and profiting off
a falling market, I suggest checking out http://www.indxtrader.com,
where we show you exactly how to profit using market-timing
tools to play the everyday ups and downs in the NASDAQ 100.
If youre serious about making money trading index
options, thats the place to go.
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