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It didn't take long:
Taipan's
cornerstone play on diabetes treatment gets bought out at
a 37% premium to our goal entry price! You could have made
86% if you followed our advice in early April!
by Brian Hicks
Medical device giant
Medtronic is buying. And thats great news. Its
even better news if you bought shares in one of Taipans
cornerstone diabetes plays in early April
when
we recommended you buy MiniMed (MNMD:NASDAQ) at levels under
US$35.
Because
Medtronic (which generates half its sales from defibrillators
and pacemakers) is paying nearly US$3.1 billion to buy MiniMeds
strong presence in the market for treatment of the 16 million
Americans with diabetes.
About 4.6 million Americans with diabetes must receive insulin
through injections or pumps to regulate their blood glucose.
Diabetes costs the nation about US$98 billion annually,
including US$44 billion in direct medical costs.
The best way to monitor blood-glucose levels is through
a system that continuously monitors and administers insulin.
And thats what MiniMeds systems do.
Apparently Medtronic wants it really bad. The company
will pay US$48 per share in cash for MiniMed.
And
why not?
The number of Americans with diabetes has jumped from about
12 million in 1994 to about 16 million today. About 800,000
new cases of diabetes are diagnosed each year in the U.S.,
up from about 600,000 new cases per year in 1991.
Sure, we told you that our 2-year price target for MiniMed
was US$55
which would have been a 57% gain over
our recommended entry level. But honestly, we love being
wrong in situations like this: well take a 37%
gain in two or three months any old time. Heck, if you
acted on our recommendation when the issue arrived, you
had the opportunity to buy in at US$26. Then youd
have bagged a cool 86% gain. Not bad in a market prematurely
declared dead on arrival in early 2001.
Another
record quarter for Optimal Robotics
Optimal
Robotics (OPMR:NASDAQ) recently
announced record results for the first quarter of fiscal
year 2001.
The company reported record revenues of US$19.6 million
for the first quarter, compared to US$12 million for the
same period a year ago. Thats an increase of 63%.
Net
profit for the quarter was a record US$2.5 million, an increase
of 259%, compared to a net profit of US$701,218 for the
first quarter of 2000.
Optimal Robotics delivered 797 U-Scan self-checkout terminals
(or 200 U-Scan systems) in the quarter, an increase of 74%
over the 460 U-Scan terminals (or 115 U-Scan systems) delivered
in the first quarter of 2000.
Thanks to these stellar numbers and other positive developments,
Optimal Robotics recently broke above US$30.
In addition to the better-than-expected fundamentals, there
are reports that beta testing at Wal-Mart is going well.
The maker of self-checkout systems for grocery stores has
seen robust institutional buying in the past three months.
Being
there first
One
thing I always tell individual investors: there are two
types of stocksthose that Wall Street loves
and the ones that you should buy.
They are mutually exclusive.
What does this mean?
If youve been with Taipan for a few years,
you know that my prime directive is to uncover, analyze
and purchase stocks not yet followed by the Street.
I
wont get into how the Wall Street game is rigged against
you, but in essence, you want to buy before mutual funds
begin acquiring positions in the stock.
Optimal Robotics is an excellent example.
When I originally recommended OPMR in 1998 for US$11 a share,
the stock had zero institutional sponsorship. Today, more
than 74 institutions hold OPMR.
In the past three months, institutions bought 6.5 million
shares, while selling only 1.8 millionfor a net gain
of 4.7 million.
This
is bullish, no matter how you look at it.
The same goes for Aviron (AVIR:NASDAQ). Institutions
bought 8.4 million shares in the past three months
and sold only 3.3 million.
Buyers outnumbered sellers 92 to 35.
In short, when mutual funds begin buying, its Taipan
members who are doing the selling
and usually at a
fat premium over our entry price.
No
end in sight for tainted meatTitan powers higher
Europe
is still in a foot-and-mouth disease crisis. In fact, more
animals are being led to slaughter than ever before.
I dont think it is a coincidence that Titan (TTN:NYSE),
our meat pasteurization play, is experiencing a major rally.
In
fact, the recent IPO that Titan owns 84% ofSureBeam
(SURE:NASDAQ)is up more than 100% since mid April.
There continues to be a buzz about Mad Cow and foot-and-mouth
diseases.
And although Titans meat pasteurization system doesnt
directly address these diseases, the meat-eating public
definitely wants safer meat to consume.
Titan is currently up about 50% in the Taipan portfolio
and I think it will go higher in the coming months.
Continue
to hold.
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