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From
the battlefields of Baghdad to your SUV
This US$12.50 company wants to
put a satellite
TV in every American car
As a kid, my three favorite movies
were “Patton,” “Midway,” and “Kelly’s Heroes.” All war
movies… and in that order.
When “First Blood” was released in 1982, that quickly
became my favorite movie.
And my favorite television show? Well, do you remember “Rat
Patrol”? Set in North Africa during World War II, the show
glorified a four-member team of commandos armed with Jeeps
equipped with .50-caliber machine guns.
But even though many of my role models were Tommy-gun-toting
movie actors, I’ve never owned a gun in my life. I never
enlisted in the military and have never been arrested.
Heck, I’ve never been hunting. In fact, it may come as
a surprise to you that I wasn’t exactly on-board for the
war in Iraq.
Even with this impromptu disclaimer, I know that the
stock I’m recommending this month will probably enrage
the legion of self-proclaimed child experts who have written
countless books and articles on how too much television
is bad for American kids.
To make matters worse—especially for the Berkeley crowd—the
company I’m recommending in this issue of Taipan will not
only keep kids connected to the tube 24/7, it also makes
the navigation units currently used on the M1A1 Abrams
Main Battle Tank and the Bradley Fighting Vehicle.
It’s a double whammy.
Taking the family on a cross-country
road trip
If you’ve ever taken your kids on an extended vacation,
like I have, you know this scenario all too well. It’s
the trip the wife and kids have been begging you for, to
Disney World. But instead of dropping the coin to buy five
tickets on Southwest for the two-hour flight to Orlando,
you decide to drive down.
That’s a 13-hour, 600-mile trip from the Taipan headquarters.
You’re about two hours into the trek when it starts from
the back seat.
“Mom, Jimmy is staring at me!”
“Dad, I’m bored!”
“Are we there yet?”
“How come dad was too cheap to buy airline tickets?”
You’re not even out of the state, and you’re ready to
give your oldest a “flying Melnick” to his sternum. That
all changed for me in 2001 when I purchased the modern-day
version of the family station wagon, a minivan. And this
minivan came weaponized. It came with a TV/VCR unit.
The TV/VCR is a godsend. But unless you want to constantly
carry around a suitcase full of tapes, the second generation
of automobile entertainment will prove to be more practical:
a satellite feed straight into your car.
And that’s exactly what a company called KVH
Industries (KVHI:NASDAQ) is doing. They’ve developed
something called TracVision that beams the programs right
into your van.
Now, I want you to understand something: TracVision isn’t
a shot-in-the-dark venture. It’s been selling like hotcakes
in the RV market, an industry that has exploded in the
past five years.
Check out
the revenue numbers for KVHI:
|
| revenues($mil): |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
| 23 |
30 |
33 |
44 |
Though these numbers aren’t entirely attributable to
sales of TracVision, the overall growth in sales for KVH
Industries is something I definitely look for when investing
in a small-cap stock.
Currently, KVH Industries trades at a market cap of just
US$143 million.
I believe the stock’s upside is 20% in the near term,
as the company is expected to post its first profitable
year in five years.
The story behind the numbers
I know you’re probably wondering how you get satellite
television (300 channels!) in your car. But it’s fairly
simple. If you’re like me and you already have a television
in your car, then the process is even simpler.
The only thing needed is the installation of an antenna
in your vehicle of choice. The
antenna picks up satellite signals from all over the world
and delivers them straight to your car’s TV.
The antenna is only 14.5 inches tall and takes up about
as much room as a sixpack. And with today’s backseat televisions
taking up less space, the TracVision should be completely
unobtrusive.
And really, there’s no way to avoid it. More than a million
backseat entertainment systems were sold in 2002, and that
number is expected to grow dramatically in 2003.
Almost every 2002 model SUV and minivan offered these
systems as options—and the uptake has been tremendous,
with 96% of Nissan Quests, 31% of Ford Expeditions and
30% of Ford Windstars shipping with video systems.
Summer rental
According to the company, TracVision will be ready for
deployment this summer. That’s when I think you’ll see
shares of KVH Industries start to rally… big time.
The stock has been in a major uptrend since October 2001,
going from a low of US$4.00 a share to a current price
of US$12.50.
Since KVHI continues to make new highs, I believe
the stock will see US$15 in the short term.
Buy it at current levels. •
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