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EDITORIAL
January 2003

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"As markets crashed and global corporate giants bit the dust, this stock rose 1,100%… from US$0.50 to US$6… since September 11, 2001! And there's more to come!"

You can't afford to ignore this unfolding opportunity a moment longer: Now is the time to buy this budding automotive stock at the bargain-basement price of US$4

Let me tell you about a company that literally took my breath away when I first heard about it. It did over US$225 million in sales in 2001—a 34.8% increase over the previous year—while its closest competitors all ended up in the red. If that sounds impressive, how about this: In the first half of 2002, the company increased its sales by 97% over the same period last year. And it is set to repeat the performance in 2003.

Even better, this company’s stock currently trades at only US$4 a share.

But before my team fills you in on what company I’m talking about, let me provide a little background information, so you can place this opportunity in its proper context…

The China card

On June 7, 1966, on a singularly hot day in Cape Town, South Africa, the late Robert F. Kennedy was overheard saying, “There is a Chinese curse which says, 'May he live in interesting times."

These days, the phrase has become a staple of quotable Far Eastern wisdom. But ask native Chinese people about it and they will shrug their shoulders. That was the reaction I received from the Taipan Group’s resident China experts, Howie and Siu-Yee Ng. This particular quote, they tell me, is just about as Chinese as fortune cookies and egg foo yung… both of which you’d be hard-pressed to find in China.

And western notions about Chinese investment markets tend to be just as ill-conceived. Just over five years ago, I sat in a meeting with a well-known Canadian specialist on international investments, listening to him wax poetic about the prospects of a European supermarket chain setting up shop in China… expecting to make a mint on getting the Chinese to switch from lumpy rice and sweet-and-sour sauce to pasta and Newman’s Sockarooni sauce.

By then, we had already taken triple-digit profits on most of our China Dragon plays: in the late ’80s and early ’90s, Taipan readers made a fortune on the boom in Hong Kong—like the 232% profits our readers made when we told them to buy real-estate developer Tian An, 289% profits on Hopewell Holdings, and another 271% profits on Hong Kong & Shanghai Bank. And in 1995, we got Taipan readers into an American-Chinese joint venture near the Hong Kong border that gave them 200% profits in just three weeks!

Then we saw the hype get too hot. In Taipan, we wrote:

“Almost every day, you hear or read another glittery report about China’s incredible future. The Wall Street gurus write dreamily about what will happen when two billion Chinese open up to the software market… cellular phones… or modems and computers. But guess what? We predict that the kinds of wealth explosions everyone else is promising now will have to take place on the other side of a crisis. When it happens, you’ll have plenty of chances to profit.”

Now, my friend, is that time.

But why get back in? Why now, and what’s changed?

Let me give you a short rundown of what has happened since!

Last year, while every major economy in the world tanked… China’s economy grew an incredible 6.9%.

As of December 2002, China’s tech exports had increased a breathtaking 50%. The World Trade Organization (WTO), of which China finally became a member in late 2001, sees a 12% growth rate for China during the coming year. And 20% growth after that!

China is suddenly the world’s largest consumer of cell phones—over 167 million customers. They add another 6 million customers every year. China’s cell phone market ALONE grows by 25% a year!

PC shipments to China will grow 18% a year through 2006.

Germany’s Volkswagen AG just announced that China now is the single largest market for VW automobiles… second only to Germany itself!

Even the conservative Ludwig von Mises Institute pegs China as the largest world economy by 2011. The IMF sees China’s economy growing three times faster than the world growth rate. The BBC called China’s growth a “runaway success.”

According to the State Development Planning Commission, China’s GDP will top US$35 trillion in 2020, a per capita GDP of US$3,000. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, China is likely to become the third largest economy in the world by 2020 and the second largest in 2050.

While most global economies were struggling over the last two years… with former powerhouses Germany and Japan expected to post less than 1% annualized GDP growth for 2002… China’s economic growth rate actually hit high gear in the first three quarters of this year. For 2002, growth will be 0.6% points higher than in 2001, reaching 7.9%.

And this growth is not expected to slow anytime soon. The Economic Forecast Department of the State Information Centre (SIC) expects GDP to reach 10.217 trillion yuan (US$1.235 trillion) in 2002. China’s exports increased by 19.4% in the first three quarters of 2002. Its total trade volume during that period was US$445.1 billion, an 18.3% increase year-over-year.

“Second Wave” revolution

Now don’t get me wrong here. Even with all the good news in the headlines… even with China in the WTO… tariff restrictions abolished… more accurate Chinese accounting… and an exploding middle class… China isn’t a perfect market.

The economy is plagued by the same debt and strong deflationary tendencies that have made business life in Japan a living hell. It’s still got an entrenched, corrupt, and absolutely opaque Communist bureaucracy. And political problems ranging from Falun Gong to militant Islamic separatists at the outskirts of the Red Empire.

But it’s also got a hidden asset no other country—except possibly India—can claim: you see, over the last 20 years, China sent hundreds of thousands of students to top universities in over 113 countries worldwide…

Now they’re coming home!

Brain gain

Biologists and geneticists. Architects. Technicians. Computer programmers. Engineers. Add these to over 700,000 engineers already graduating from Chinese universities this coming year.

By the end of 2003, China will have the largest pool of entrepreneurs, engineers, and business experts in Asia! That’s more than Taiwan. More than Singapore. Even more than Japan. And unlike their counterparts in the fully industrialized Asian nations, the burgeoning Chinese middle class is ready for major consumption. Here’s what this will mean for investors over the next 12 months…

Imagine picking up shares in every American blue chip stock… back in 1903!

Jack Welch, the ex-CEO of General Electric, recently said: “You know, I think China and its impact on the next century will make what Japan did in the 1970s and 1980s look like a water pistol.”

Investing in the right China-related shares right now is almost like investing in the future blockbuster companies of American industry… way back in 1903!

And that’s exactly the opportunity the Taipan Group’s resident brain trust has come up with for you this month. Here’s Siu-Yee Ng’s report:


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